Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Exeter City in this match.
-0.04) 
0.08) 
