SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 52.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Eastleigh |
52.81% ( 0.94) | 23.73% ( -0.2) | 23.47% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.22% ( 0.15) | 46.78% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.96% ( 0.14) | 69.04% ( -0.14) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( 0.41) | 17.68% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.69% ( 0.7) | 48.31% ( -0.7) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% ( -0.56) | 34.17% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.14% ( -0.61) | 70.86% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.8% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.73% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.19% Total : 23.47% |
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