Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Kaiserslautern win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0.46) 
0) 
