SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 3-1 (7.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
60.86% ( 0.16) | 19.65% ( -0.08) | 19.48% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 62.55% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.92% ( 0.28) | 33.08% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.18% ( 0.32) | 54.81% ( -0.33) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.39% ( 0.12) | 10.6% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.6% ( 0.28) | 34.4% ( -0.28) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.97% ( 0.09) | 30.03% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.84% ( 0.11) | 66.15% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 60.86% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.65% | 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 19.48% |
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