SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Barcelona |
43.97% ( -1.75) | 23.6% ( 0.44) | 32.42% ( 1.31) |
| Both teams to score 61.77% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.01% ( -1.54) | 39.99% ( 1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.64% ( -1.61) | 62.35% ( 1.6) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( -1.31) | 18.51% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.26% ( -2.26) | 49.73% ( 2.25) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( 0.03) | 24.19% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.47% ( 0.05) | 58.52% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.56% Total : 43.97% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.42% |
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