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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
M

Toulouse
vs.
Montpellier

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Nantes
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We say: Toulouse 1-1 Montpellier HSC

Considering their questionable form in front of their own supporters, home advantage is set to mean little for Toulouse as they welcome Montpellier to the Southern France. Les Violets have meetings with PSG and third-placed Brest to round off the campaign, meaning that Friday's clash represents the final realistic opportunity to earn some points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toulouse win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Montpellier HSC has a probability of 37.13% and a draw has a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win is 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.75%).

Result
ToulouseDrawMontpellier HSC
37.83% (0.67299999999999 0.67) 25.04% (0.379 0.38) 37.13% (-1.059 -1.06)
Both teams to score 57.61% (-1.384 -1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.15% (-1.784 -1.78)45.85% (1.779 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84% (-1.716 -1.72)68.16% (1.71 1.71)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (-0.45400000000001 -0.45)23.91% (0.449 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88% (-0.652 -0.65)58.12% (0.646 0.65)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-1.365 -1.36)24.28% (1.359 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (-1.969 -1.97)58.65% (1.963 1.96)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 37.83%
    Montpellier HSC 37.13%
    Draw 25.03%
ToulouseDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.087 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.51 0.51)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.291 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 37.83%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.428 0.43)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.296 0.3)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 37.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 21 at 6.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Toulouse
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-3 Lyon
Friday, March 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Nantes
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-2 Montpellier
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Montpellier
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Lorient
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-6 PSG
Sunday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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