Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goa win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Goa would win this match.