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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.55%) and 3-1 (5.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
43.03% ( -0.39) | 22.14% ( 0.08) | 34.82% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 68.22% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.08% ( -0.31) | 31.92% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.53% ( -0.36) | 53.47% ( 0.37) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% ( -0.27) | 15.65% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.32% ( -0.5) | 44.67% ( 0.5) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( 0.01) | 19.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.23% ( 0.01) | 50.76% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.06% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.82% |
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