Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.87%) and 1-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
53.54% ( -0.7) | 21.21% ( 0.2) | 25.24% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 65.12% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.7% ( -0.46) | 33.3% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.93% ( -0.52) | 55.07% ( 0.52) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.32% ( -0.36) | 12.68% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.14% ( -0.74) | 38.86% ( 0.74) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% ( 0.11) | 25.42% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.76% ( 0.16) | 60.23% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.24% |
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