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Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 20, 2024 at 8.30am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
BR

Victory
0 - 0
Brisbane Roar


Ikonomidis (82')
Geria (51')
FT
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Victory
Friday, April 12 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.87%) and 1-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawBrisbane Roar
53.54% (-0.703 -0.7) 21.21% (0.198 0.2) 25.24% (0.502 0.5)
Both teams to score 65.12% (-0.167 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.7% (-0.456 -0.46)33.3% (0.454 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.93% (-0.523 -0.52)55.07% (0.521 0.52)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)12.68% (0.357 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.14% (-0.745 -0.74)38.86% (0.743 0.74)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58% (0.114 0.11)25.42% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76% (0.156 0.16)60.23% (-0.159 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 53.54%
    Brisbane Roar 25.24%
    Draw 21.21%
Melbourne VictoryDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.65% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.44% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.29% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 53.54%
1-1 @ 9.12% (0.123 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.22% (0.077 0.08)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.21%
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.105 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.41% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.091 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Victory
Friday, April 12 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 6 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, March 31 at 5am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 2-2 Victory
Thursday, March 14 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Victory
Saturday, March 9 at 9.15am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-2 Victory
Sunday, March 3 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-2 Brisbane Roar
Friday, April 5 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 31 at 12am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Macarthur
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 10 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-2 Victory
Sunday, March 3 at 6am in Australian A-League


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