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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.42%) and 3-1 (6.35%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
52.01% ( -0.25) | 21.25% ( 0.12) | 26.73% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 66.55% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.91% ( -0.47) | 32.09% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.33% ( -0.55) | 53.67% ( 0.55) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.28% ( -0.23) | 12.72% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.06% ( -0.49) | 38.94% ( 0.49) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( -0.16) | 23.75% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.1% ( -0.24) | 57.89% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 52.01% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.25% | 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.73% |
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