Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Grosseto had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Grosseto win it was 1-0 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
-0.13) 
0.17) 
