SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
67.69% ( -0.86) | 18.23% ( 0.7) | 14.09% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( -2.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.3% ( -3.08) | 36.7% ( 3.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.14% ( -3.43) | 58.86% ( 3.43) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.05% ( -1.02) | 9.95% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.09% ( -2.41) | 32.91% ( 2.41) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.52% ( -1.78) | 38.48% ( 1.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.77% ( -1.75) | 75.24% ( 1.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.63) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.92)3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.29)5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.27)5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.26)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.18)Other @ 4.07% Total : 67.68% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.55)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.23% | 1-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.37)0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.9% Total : 14.09% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
