Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.06) 
