With both sides coming in with renewed confidence after wins last time out and vying for sixth spot, we anticipate a tight contest on Sunday and see the visitors having enough to leave with a share of the spoils to move out of sight of Rennes in the fight for European spots.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38%. A win for Lens had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
