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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
LL

Middlesbrough
3 - 4
Leeds

Jones (7'), Latte Lath (30', 87')
Latte Lath (35'), Jones (78'), Howson (80')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Summerville (14' pen., 61'), Bamford (18'), Gnonto (39')
Bamford (45+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Blackburn
Saturday, April 13 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Leeds United

Middlesbrough's brilliant defensive exploits at home spells danger for a Leeds side who have just lost their way a tad in recent weeks, and Carrick's men have performed admirably in the face of injury-related adversity. There should be no let-up from the hosts while the playoffs remain a mathematical possibility - albeit a highly slim one - but the win they require to keep those hopes alive may elude them. Still, Boro should back themselves to take a point from an ailing Leeds as the Whites miss the chance to rise above the automatic line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLeeds United
32.44% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 23.93% (0.0040000000000013 0) 43.63% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 60.58% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.44% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)41.56% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.04% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)63.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)24.94% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)59.57% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7% (0.0040000000000049 0)19.3% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.95% (0.0019999999999953 0)51.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 32.44%
    Leeds United 43.63%
    Draw 23.93%
MiddlesbroughDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.44%
1-1 @ 10.99%
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.51% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.57% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 43.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Swansea
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Sheff Weds
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Blackburn
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Blackburn
Saturday, April 13 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, April 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Leeds
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Millwall
Sunday, March 17 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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