Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Norwich City
63.8% ( 0.02)	19.98% ( -0)	16.22% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.45% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.48% (

-0.02)

40.51% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.1% (

-0.02)

62.89% (

0.02)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.96% (

12.04% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.46%

37.54%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.9% (

-0.03)

38.1% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.14% (

-0.03)

74.86% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 63.79%

Norwich City 16.22%

Draw 19.98%

Leeds United	Draw	Norwich City
2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.74% Total : 63.79%	1-1 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.98%	1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.22%