SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.5%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
49.33% ( 0.12) | 21.06% ( -0.02) | 29.61% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 69.77% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.11% ( 0.05) | 28.89% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.15% ( 0.05) | 49.85% ( -0.05) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.6% ( 0.05) | 12.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.72% ( 0.1) | 38.28% ( -0.1) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% ( -0.03) | 20.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.24% ( -0.05) | 52.76% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.33% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.57% 0-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.06% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.61% |
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