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League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
MT

Barrow
1 - 1
Mansfield

Spence (58')
Canavan (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maris (17')
Boateng (31'), Johnson (69'), Reed (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Bradford
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Gillingham
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 0-2 Mansfield Town

The two sides come into this game in completely opposing form, with Barrow picking up the second-fewest points of any team in the division over the past six fixtures, while Mansfield have picked up four wins from their last four. Because of that, we believe that Mansfield will continue their excellent run ahead of their return to League One next season with a victory here, placing Barrow's own playoff hopes in serious jeopardy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
BarrowDrawMansfield Town
30.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 26.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 43.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.5% (0.011000000000003 0.01)51.5% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.7% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (0.010999999999996 0.01)30.85% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)67.13% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11%57.88% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 30.87%
    Mansfield Town 43.08%
    Draw 26.04%
BarrowDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 30.87%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 10.53%
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.57% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 4.27%
0-3 @ 3.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 43.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Bradford
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-2 Barrow
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Barrow
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 3-0 Barrow
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-2 Swindon
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-1 Barrow
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Gillingham
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-4 Mansfield
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-4 Crawley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Mansfield
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two


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