Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%).
0.51) 
-0.53) 
