Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
-2.94) 
0.9) 
