Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
0.03) 
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