Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Lusitania FC Lourosa had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Lusitania FC Lourosa win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
-7.55) 
8.01) 
