While Boavista may be backed to secure maximum points against relegated opposition, the hosts drawing three on the trot on home turf and their inability to score consistently on home turf point to a possible stalemate. Four of the last five meetings between both sides have ended without a winner, and another tie could be in the offing this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.18) 
0.11) 
