With just two points separating the two sides in the relegation conversation, we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Estadio do Bessa as they both go all out in search of maximum points. However, we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.28) 
-0.04) 
