Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Leixoes had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Leixoes win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.