Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.