Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 69.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 12.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
