After their opening-day defeat against Boavista, Portimonense have bounced back in style, winning their subsequent two outings. They head into the weekend full of confidence and we predict that they will make light work of a Maritimo side who are yet to find their feet this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
-0.45) 
0.46) 
