Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 87.89%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Matlock Town had a probability of 3.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.16%) and 0-4 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.11%), while for a Matlock Town win it was 1-0 (1.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Mansfield Town in this match.