Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
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