Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 15.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.06) 
