SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
25.75% ( 0.24) | 23.87% ( 0.23) | 50.39% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.69% ( -0.81) | 45.31% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.35% ( -0.77) | 67.65% ( 0.78) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.55% ( -0.24) | 31.45% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.17% ( -0.28) | 67.84% ( 0.28) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( -0.48) | 18.04% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.07% ( -0.83) | 48.93% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 25.75% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.5% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.55% Total : 50.39% |
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