Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.