Despite their limited match action compared to their Albanian opponents, Conte's side should have too much for Egnatia on Sunday, with the Partenopei boosted by their returning captain and midfield lynchpin Lobotka.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 77.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Egnatia Rrogozhine had a probability of 7.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.01%) and 1-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Egnatia Rrogozhine win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
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