SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Veres win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Veres win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Veres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Veres |
35.2% ( 0.41) | 25.63% ( 0.22) | 39.17% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 55.39% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.36% ( -0.92) | 48.64% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% ( -0.84) | 70.75% ( 0.84) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( -0.2) | 26.67% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( -0.26) | 61.92% ( 0.26) |
| Veres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( -0.74) | 24.46% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% ( -1.05) | 58.9% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Veres |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 35.2% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.17% |
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