Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 51.57%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Orihuela had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Orihuela win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.