Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Os Limianos had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Os Limianos win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
-0.72) 
0.27) 
