Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Felgueiras 1932 had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Felgueiras 1932 win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
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