Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.02) 
