Although not playing at their Red Bull Arena, RB Leipzig should feel at home as they face off against Champions League opposition on Wednesday night.
A weak Villa side struggled against Columbus last time out, and we believe that Unai Emery's side will suffer their second defeat of pre-season in New Jersey.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
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