Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.29) 
