Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
0.06) 
-0.03) 
