Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.97%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 28.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-2 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
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