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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Reale Arena
AM

Real Sociedad
0 - 2
Atletico


Pacheco (45+2'), Mendez (57'), Ander Olasagasti (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lino (9'), Mandava (90+3')
Vermeeren (41'), Koke (45'), Niguez (80'), Mandava (87')
Niguez (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Both teams are merely playing for pride in this fixture, but they will want to end the campaign on a positive note, particularly the hosts in front of their own supporters. Atletico have got the better of Real Sociedad in recent meetings, but as there is little to separate these two evenly-matched sides at present, we can see Alguacil's men claiming at least a share of the spoils this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
41.53% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 26.43% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 32.04% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.96% (0.176 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.3% (0.205 0.2)52.7% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.66% (0.175 0.18)74.34% (-0.172 -0.17)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (0.054000000000002 0.05)25.06% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07)59.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.187 0.19)30.66% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (0.21700000000001 0.22)66.91% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 41.52%
    Atletico Madrid 32.04%
    Draw 26.43%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.52%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Betis 0-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Valencia
Thursday, May 16 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Real Sociedad
Monday, May 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Las Palmas
Saturday, May 4 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Real Madrid
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, April 21 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-4 Osasuna
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 0-3 Atletico
Wednesday, May 15 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, May 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Atletico
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 2-0 Atletico
Sunday, April 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga


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