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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
ST

Bolton
2 - 2
Shrewsbury

Jerome (40'), Maghoma (71')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Udoh (21'), Shipley (43')
Marosi (40'), Bennett (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Wycombe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Shrewsbury Town

Although Bolton were involved in a draw on Saturday, they have managed to win five of their last eight home matches, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to claim three points in Tuesday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawShrewsbury Town
73.07% (0.0030000000000001 0) 16.18% (0.0019999999999989 0) 10.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Both teams to score 52.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.62% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.32% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)57.68% (0.012 0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)8.43% (0.0030999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.72% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.95% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)43.06% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.66% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)79.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 73.07%
    Shrewsbury Town 10.75%
    Draw 16.18%
Bolton WanderersDrawShrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 11.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 9.15% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.66%
4-1 @ 4.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.8%
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
6-0 @ 1.15%
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
6-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 73.07%
1-1 @ 7.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 3.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.18%
1-2 @ 3.19%
0-1 @ 3.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 10.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 5-2 Reading
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Bolton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 5-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Wycombe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Oxford Utd
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One


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