SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Coventry City |
33.14% ( -0.35) | 24.42% ( -0.06) | 42.44% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 59.11% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.41% ( 0.16) | 43.59% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.01% ( 0.16) | 65.98% ( -0.16) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( -0.13) | 25.49% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( -0.18) | 60.33% ( 0.17) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( 0.25) | 20.66% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.75% ( 0.4) | 53.24% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.14% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 42.44% |
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