Shrewsbury may have avoided defeat in their last three matches, but we think that their unbeaten run will be brought to an end by a Portsmouth side that has won five of their previous six home games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.
-0.17) 
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