Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Southport had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Southport win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%).
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