Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
-0.15) 
0.04) 
