Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 70.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Pau had a probability of 12.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Pau win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Pau
70.5% ( 0.01)	17.42% ( -0)	12.08% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.15% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.09% (

37.91% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.83% (

60.17% (

-0)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.4% (

9.6% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.91% (

0.01)

32.09% (

-0.01)

Pau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.68% (

-0.01)

42.32% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.29% (

-0.01)

78.71% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Marseille 70.5%

Pau 12.08%

Draw 17.42%

Marseille	Draw	Pau
2-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.71% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.49% 4-0 @ 5.11% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.22% 5-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.89% 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 4.04% Total : 70.5%	1-1 @ 8.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.42%	1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 12.08%