Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 70.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Pau had a probability of 12.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Pau win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
0.01) 
-0) 
