SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Koln in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Koln.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Swansea City |
53.62% ( -0.07) | 22.41% ( 0.02) | 23.97% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.25% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.63% ( -0.07) | 40.37% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.25% ( -0.07) | 62.75% ( 0.07) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.92% ( -0.05) | 15.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.4% ( -0.09) | 43.6% ( 0.09) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( 0) | 30.23% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.61% ( 0) | 66.39% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Swansea City |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.62% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 23.97% |
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